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Atlantic
Tropical Weather

Make this page your one-stop source for tropical storm and hurricane information for the Atlantic Basin. Look below for a wealth of tropical weather information for the Atlantic and Caribbean. All images, forecasts, and documents are courtesy of their respective publishers.

Our Most Recent Weather Updates

Saturday Evening Update – Hurricane Melissa Is Rapidly Strengthening To The Southeast Of Jamaica

Saturday, October 25, 2025 9:01 pm

Reconnaissance aircraft investigating Melissa are finding that it is rapidly strengthening this evening. In fact, the most recent reports from them indicate that it is at least a 105-110 mph hurricane right now, even though the 8 pm advisory showed 100 mph maximum winds. It is extremely evident on satellite imagery that Melissa is wrapping […]

Melissa Is Almost A Hurricane & Is Expected To Rapidly Strengthen Into A Major Hurricane Over The Next Couple Of Days; Long-Duration Severe Impacts In Jamaica Are Expected This Weekend Into Next Week

Saturday, October 25, 2025 11:17 am

Tropical Storm Melissa: Reconnaissance aircraft investigating Melissa this morning have found that it is very close to hurricane strength & probably will become one by the end of today. While some westerly shear is still affecting Melissa, it is still undergoing steady strengthening. All indications are pointing towards Melissa rapidly strengthening over the next couple […]

Friday Evening Update On Melissa, Which Is Now Strengthening This Evening

Friday, October 24, 2025 7:21 pm

Reconnaissance aircraft are currently investigating Melissa this evening and have found that the storm is now strengthening. Latest reports reveal that the central barometric pressure with Melissa has fallen to 991 to 993 millibars, which is a drop of 4 millibars from early this afternoon. The main reason why I am sending out this update […]

Melissa Is Expected To Severely Impact Jamaica For Several Days As A Major Hurricane Beginning This Weekend

Friday, October 24, 2025 12:35 pm

Tropical Storm Melissa: Reconnaissance aircraft have been flying through Melissa all morning long. They have found that the deep convection associated with Melissa has tugged the low-level center to the east-southeast as compared to where it was located just last night. This has caused the storm to stack a little more with the low and […]

Melissa Is Expected To Become A Hurricane & Affect Jamaica With Extremely Heavy Rain & Strong Winds Starting This Weekend

Thursday, October 23, 2025 12:06 pm

Tropical Storm Melissa: Melissa is being impacted by west-southwesterly wind shear of up to 20-30 knots today & because of this the low-level center is partially exposed. In addition, this west-southwesterly wind shear is blowing the deepest convection to the east of the low-level center. As of right now, Melissa still has 50 mph maximum […]

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Tropical Weather Outlooks

2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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Latest Tropical Weather Outlook

Latest Tropical Weather Discussion

Satellite Imagery

Infrared Satellite Images Atlantic Wide

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Infrared Satellite Images Gulf of Mexico

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Infrared Satellite Image US East Coast

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Infrared Satellite Image Caribbean

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Visible Satellite Images

Atlantic Wide

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Gulf Of Mexico

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US East Coast

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Caribbean

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Water Vapor Satellite Images

Atlantic Wide

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Gulf Of Mexico

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US East Coast

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Caribbean

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Infrared Satellite Image

Eastern Atlantic

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Satellite Image

Eastern Atlantic Visible

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Eastern Atlantic Water Vapor

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Radar Imagery

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Puerto Rico

Cayman Islands

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Bahamas Radar Links:

Bahamas Radar Imagery

Bermuda Radar Links:

Radar Loop From Bermuda Weather Service
Static Radar Images From Bermuda
Bermuda Radar & AWOS

Jamaica/Hispaniola Radar Links:

Jamaican Radar Imagery
Cuba & Jamaica Radar Mosiac
Eastern Cuba/Haiti Radar Imagery
Cuba Radar Sites

Lesser Antilles & Barbados Radar Links:

Caribbean Radar Composites
Antilles Radar Imagery
Barbados Radar Imagery
St. Maarten Radar Loop
ABC Islands Radar Imagery

Mexico & Central America Radar Links:

Mexican Radar Imagery
Belize Radar Imagery
Panama Radar Imagery

Saharan Air Layer (SAL) Analysis

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Current Tropical Atlantic Surface Weather Analysis

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Current Surface Analysis

Southwest North Atlantic

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Caribbean

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Current Gulf of Mexico Surface Analysis

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Current US Surface Map

Northeast

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Mid-Atlantic

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Southeast

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Northern/Western Gulf Coast

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Western Atlantic Wind and Wave Analysis

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Current Atlantic Sea State Analysis

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24 Hour NHC Surface Forecast

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24 Hour NHC Wind & Wave Forecast

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36 Hour NHC Wind & Wave Forecast

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48 Hour NHC Surface Forecast

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48 Hour NHC Wind & Wave Forecast

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72 Hour NHC Surface Forecast

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72 Hour NHC Wind & Wave Forecast

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Day 3 Forecast Surface Weather Map

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Day 4 Forecast Surface Weather Map

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Day 5 Forecast Surface Weather Map

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Day 6 Forecast Surface Weather Map

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Day 7 Forecast Surface Weather Map

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Wind Analysis

700-850 mb Mean

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700-850 mb Mean

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500-850 mb Mean

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500-850 mb Mean

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400-850 mb Mean

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400-850 mb Mean

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300-850 mb Mean

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300-850 mb Mean

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250-850 mb Mean

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250-850 mb Mean

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200-700 mb Mean

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200-700 mb Mean

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Current Atlantic 850 mb Relative Vorticity Analysis

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Current Atlantic 700 mb Relative Vorticity Analysis

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Current Atlantic 500 mb Relative Vorticity Analysis

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Current Atlantic Low-Level Convergence Analysis

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Current Atlantic Upper-Level Divergence Analysis

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Probability Of Tropical Cyclone Formation

Within 24 Hours

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Within 24 To 48 Hours

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Vertical Wind Shear Forecast (850-200 mbs)

Next 24 Hours

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Next 24 To 48 Hours

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Current Atlantic Wind Shear Analysis

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Current Wind Shear Tendency Analysis

Atlantic

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Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

24 Hour Forecast

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36 Hour Forecast

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48 Hour Forecast

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60 Hour Forecast

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72 Hour Forecast

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96 Hour Forecast

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120 Hour Forecast

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Current Sea Surface Temperature Analysis

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Current Ocean Heat Content

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Tropical Weather Overview:

What Is A Tropical Depression, Tropical Storm Or A Hurricane:

Tropical Depression
A tropical cyclone in which the maximum sustained wind speed is 38 mph or less (33 kt or less or 17 m/s or less). Depressions have a closed circulation.

Tropical Storm
A tropical cyclone in which the maximum sustained wind speed ranges from 39 mph (34 kt or 18 m/s) to 73 mph (63 kt or 33 m/s). The convection in tropical storms is usually more concentrated near the center with outer rainfall organizing into distinct bands.

Hurricane
When winds in a tropical cyclone equal or exceed 74 mph (64 kt or 34 m/s) it is called a hurricane. Hurricanes are further designated by categories on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Hurricanes in categories 3, 4, 5 are known as Major Hurricanes or Intense Hurricanes.

The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale:

The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale is a 1 to 5 categorization based on the hurricane's intensity at the indicated time. The scale provides examples of the type of damages and impacts in the United States associated with winds of the indicated intensity. In general, damages rise by about a factor of four for every category increase. The maximum sustained surface wind speed (peak 1-minute wind at 10 m [33 ft]) is the determining factor in the scale. The scale does not address the potential for such other hurricane-related impacts, as storm surge, rainfall-induced floods, and tornadoes. These wind-caused impacts are to apply to the worst winds reaching the coast and the damage would be less elsewhere. It should also be noted that the general wind-caused damage descriptions are to some degree dependent upon the local building codes in effect and how well and how long they have been enforced. Hurricane wind damage is also dependent upon such other factors as duration of high winds, change of wind direction, amount of accompanying rainfall, and age of structures.

Category One Hurricane: Sustained Winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt or 119-153 km/hr).
Very dangerous winds will produce some damage
People, livestock, and pets struck by flying or falling debris could be injured or killed. Older (mainly pre-1994 construction) mobile homes could be destroyed, especially if they are not anchored properly as they tend to shift or roll off their foundations. Newer mobile homes that are anchored properly can sustain damage involving the removal of shingle or metal roof coverings, and loss of vinyl siding, as well as damage to carports, sunrooms, or lanais. Some poorly constructed frame homes can experience major damage, involving loss of the roof covering and damage to gable ends as well as the removal of porch coverings and awnings. Unprotected windows may break if struck by flying debris. Masonry chimneys can be toppled. Well-constructed frame homes could have damage to roof shingles, vinyl siding, soffit panels, and gutters. Failure of aluminum, screened-in, swimming pool enclosures can occur. Some apartment building and shopping center roof coverings could be partially removed. Industrial buildings can lose roofing and siding especially from windward corners, rakes, and eaves. Failures to overhead doors and unprotected windows will be common. Windows in high-rise buildings can be broken by flying debris. Falling and broken glass will pose a significant danger even after the storm. There will be occasional damage to commercial signage, fences, and canopies. Large branches of trees will snap and shallow rooted trees can be toppled. Extensive damage to power lines and poles will likely result in power outages that could last a few to several days. Hurricane Dolly (2008) is an example of a hurricane that brought Category 1 winds and impacts to South Padre Island, Texas.

Category Two Hurricane: Sustained Winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt or 154-177 km/hr).
Extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage
There is a substantial risk of injury or death to people, livestock, and pets due to flying and falling debris. Older (mainly pre-1994 construction) mobile homes have a very high chance of being destroyed and the flying debris generated can shred nearby mobile homes. Newer mobile homes can also be destroyed. Poorly constructed frame homes have a high chance of having their roof structures removed especially if they are not anchored properly. Unprotected windows will have a high probability of being broken by flying debris. Well-constructed frame homes could sustain major roof and siding damage. Failure of aluminum, screened-in, swimming pool enclosures will be common. There will be a substantial percentage of roof and siding damage to apartment buildings and industrial buildings. Unreinforced masonry walls can collapse. Windows in high-rise buildings can be broken by flying debris. Falling and broken glass will pose a significant danger even after the storm. Commercial signage, fences, and canopies will be damaged and often destroyed. Many shallowly rooted trees will be snapped or uprooted and block numerous roads. Near-total power loss is expected with outages that could last from several days to weeks. Potable water could become scarce as filtration systems begin to fail. Hurricane Frances (2004) is an example of a hurricane that brought Category 2 winds and impacts to coastal portions of Port St. Lucie, Florida with Category 1 conditions experienced elsewhere in the city.

Category Three Hurricane: Sustained Winds 111-129 mph (96-112 kt or 178-208 km/hr).
Devastating damage will occur
There is a high risk of injury or death to people, livestock, and pets due to flying and falling debris. Nearly all older (pre-1994) mobile homes will be destroyed. Most newer mobile homes will sustain severe damage with potential for complete roof failure and wall collapse. Poorly constructed frame homes can be destroyed by the removal of the roof and exterior walls. Unprotected windows will be broken by flying debris. Well-built frame homes can experience major damage involving the removal of roof decking and gable ends. There will be a high percentage of roof covering and siding damage to apartment buildings and industrial buildings. Isolated structural damage to wood or steel framing can occur. Complete failure of older metal buildings is possible, and older unreinforced masonry buildings can collapse. Numerous windows will be blown out of high-rise buildings resulting in falling glass, which will pose a threat for days to weeks after the storm. Most commercial signage, fences, and canopies will be destroyed. Many trees will be snapped or uprooted, blocking numerous roads. Electricity and water will be unavailable for several days to a few weeks after the storm passes. Hurricane Ivan (2004) is an example of a hurricane that brought Category 3 winds and impacts to coastal portions of Gulf Shores, Alabama with Category 2 conditions experienced elsewhere in this city.

Category Four Hurricane: Sustained Winds 130-156 mph (113-136 kt or 209-251 km/hr).
Catastrophic damage will occur.
There is a very high risk of injury or death to people, livestock, and pets due to flying and falling debris. Nearly all older (pre-1994) mobile homes will be destroyed. A high percentage of newer mobile homes also will be destroyed. Poorly constructed homes can sustain complete collapse of all walls as well as the loss of the roof structure. Well-built homes also can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls. Extensive damage to roof coverings, windows, and doors will occur. Large amounts of windborne debris will be lofted into the air. Windborne debris damage will break most unprotected windows and penetrate some protected windows. There will be a high percentage of structural damage to the top floors of apartment buildings. Steel frames in older industrial buildings can collapse. There will be a high percentage of collapse to older unreinforced masonry buildings. Most windows will be blown out of high-rise buildings resulting in falling glass, which will pose a threat for days to weeks after the storm. Nearly all commercial signage, fences, and canopies will be destroyed. Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last for weeks to possibly months. Long-term water shortages will increase human suffering. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months. Hurricane Charley (2004) is an example of a hurricane that brought Category 4 winds and impacts to coastal portions of Punta Gorda, Florida with Category 3 conditions experienced elsewhere in the city.

Category Five Hurricane: Sustained Winds of 157 mph or higher (137 kt or higher or 252 km/hr or higher).
Catastrophic damage will occur.
People, livestock, and pets are at very high risk of injury or death from flying or falling debris, even if indoors in mobile homes or framed homes. Almost complete destruction of all mobile homes will occur, regardless of age or construction. A high percentage of frame homes will be destroyed, with total roof failure and wall collapse. Extensive damage to roof covers, windows, and doors will occur. Large amounts of windborne debris will be lofted into the air. Windborne debris damage will occur to nearly all unprotected windows and many protected windows. Significant damage to wood roof commercial buildings will occur due to loss of roof sheathing. Complete collapse of many older metal buildings can occur. Most unreinforced masonry walls will fail which can lead to the collapse of the buildings. A high percentage of industrial buildings and low-rise apartment buildings will be destroyed. Nearly all windows will be blown out of high-rise buildings resulting in falling glass, which will pose a threat for days to weeks after the storm. Nearly all commercial signage, fences, and canopies will be destroyed. Nearly all trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last for weeks to possibly months. Long-term water shortages will increase human suffering. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months. Hurricane Andrew (1992) is an example of a hurricane that brought Category 5 winds and impacts to coastal portions of Cutler Ridge, Florida with Category 4 conditions experienced elsewhere in south Miami-Dade County.

2025 Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Names

Andrea Barry Chantal Dexter Erin
Fernand Gabrielle Humberto Imelda Jerry
Karen Lorenzo Melissa Nestor Olga
Pablo Rebekah Sebastien Tanya Van
Wendy        

Tropical Weather Numerical Model Links

Allan Huffman’s Weather Models Page Canadian Model
Cyclone Phase Evolution Forecasts ECMWF Model
FNMOC Website GFS Ensemble Model Tracks
NCEP/EMC Cyclone Tracks Page Operational Model Guidance
PSU Electronic Wall Site Roundy Tropical Cyclone Probability Chart
South Florida Water Management Hurricane Model Page Tropical Atlantic Model Plots
Tropical Cyclone Genesis Potential Fields Tropical Cyclone Intensity & Track Model Forecasts
Tropical Cyclone Model Output Maps Tropical Group TC Model Generator Page
TXTornado.net Model Page

Tropical Weather Links

Adrian’s Weather Page Atlantic Tropical Weather Center
Barometer Bob Show BoatUS Hurricane Center
CAMEX-4 Related Links Canadian Hurricane Centre
CIRA Tropical Cyclone Page Early Alert
Emergency Preparedness Kits Extreme Weather Hurricane Tracking Software
Federal Alliance For Safe Homes Geology.com Hurricane Page
Hurricane Weather Data From Al Pietrycha Hurricane Alley
Hurricane City Hurricane Hollow Tropical Weather Page
Hurricane Hunters Homepage Hurricane Watch Net
iCyclone Hurricane Chasing Website Internet Partnership Radio
Moreweather – Tropical Atlantic Weather Page National Hurricane Center
Navy/NRL Tropical Cyclone Page NOAA Hurricane Research Division
OneStorm Hurricane Preparedness Pod Weather
South Florida Water Management District Storm Reports Media Links
Storm Surge Live Web Site Storm2k.org
Tropical Cyclone Forecasters’ Reference Guide Tropical Cyclone Genesis Potential Forecast
Tropical Cyclone Research Page Tropical Meteorology Project
Tropmet – Your Online Weather Resource WAVETRAK – Northern Atlantic Sector
Weather Underground Tropical Weather Page

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