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Tropical Storm Melissa: Reconnaissance aircraft have been flying through Melissa all morning long. They have found that the deep convection associated with Melissa has tugged the low-level center to the east-southeast as compared to where it was located just last night. This has caused the storm to stack a little more with the low and […]

Tropical Storm Melissa: Melissa is being impacted by west-southwesterly wind shear of up to 20-30 knots today & because of this the low-level center is partially exposed. In addition, this west-southwesterly wind shear is blowing the deepest convection to the east of the low-level center. As of right now, Melissa still has 50 mph maximum […]

Tropical Storm Melissa: Even though Melissa is producing deep convection, most of this convection is being blown to the east of the low-level center. The reason for this is due to westerly wind shear of 20-30 knots impacting the storm. Because of this, any strengthening over the past 12-24 hours has been very slow. Still […]

Tropical Storm Melissa: The tropical disturbance that was once Invest 98-L has become organized enough today to be considered a tropical storm. Because of this, the National Hurricane Center has upgraded Invest 98-L to Tropical Storm Melissa. Melissa has an organized deep convection and a well-defined low-level center with 50 mph maximum winds and central […]

Invest 98-L Located Over The Eastern Caribbean: Invest 98-L is a robust tropical disturbance today & is producing a concentrated area of convection across the eastern Caribbean. While Invest 98-L is robust, it is also not yet organized as any sort of a center is located on the western edge of the deep convection. Also, […]

I continue to track a robust tropical wave that’s located over the Tropical Atlantic about 800 miles or so to the east of the Windward Islands or near 49 West Longitude. This wave is producing a large area of convection that stretches from about 47 West Longitude westward to near the Windward Islands. I do […]