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Severe Weather Chances Increase From Wednesday Through This Coming Weekend Across The Southern Plains States

Monday, March 2, 2026 12:42 pm by Rob Lightbown

Before I get into the severe weather threat for later this week, I have a HUGE ask from me to you. I’m really hoping you might be able to send any sort of support over my way. It would be appreciated more than you will ever know.

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Now, for the latest discussion on the increase in severe weather chances:

Severe weather is going to be on the increase a little later this week, in what could be potentially a very active month in terms of severe weather from the southern United States into the Ohio Valley and Midwestern US. The severe weather a little later this week will be found across the southern Plains states from north Texas to parts of Kansas and even western Missouri.

The severe weather risk looks to develop on Wednesday across north Texas, central and eastern Oklahoma and parts of western Arkansas. These severe storms will have the potential to produce damaging wind gusts and hail.

Turning To Thursday – An upper level weather disturbance is expected to eject eastward from the southwestern United States during Thursday. Unstable air out ahead of this weather disturbance will lead to an environment that’s favorable for severe weather across the western parts of the southern Plains states.

Severe storms with a risk of damaging winds, hail and a few tornadoes will be possible Thursday afternoon and Thursday evening across western Oklahoma, northwest Texas and across the Panhandle of Texas.

Friday – That weather disturbance will push into the central and southern Plains. A humid and unstable air mass will be in place from parts of western Missouri southward to north Texas during Friday.

This means that severe storms will be a threat Friday afternoon and Friday evening across north Texas, central and eastern Oklahoma, eastern Kansas and western Missouri. Damaging winds, hail and a few tornadoes will be a threat.

This Weekend – A cold front is expected to push southward across the southern Plains and the Ozarks during Saturday. Severe storms will be possible to the south of this front across north Texas, southern Oklahoma and western Arkansas during Saturday afternoon and Saturday evening.

During Sunday, that cold front is expected to push as far south as the western Gulf. Some severe weather is possible along much of coastal Texas during Sunday.

An active weather pattern is expected to remain in place through all of next week as severe weather will certainly be a threat across the southern United States with some of this severe weather spreading into the Tennessee Valley and the Ohio Valley.

Filed Under: CWS Weather Discussions

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