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Short-Lived Tropical Development Possible Out In The Open Atlantic East Of Bermuda Over The Next Day Or So; Elsewhere, No Tropical Development Is Expected The Rest Of The Atlantic, Caribbean & Gulf This Week

Monday, June 23, 2025 10:11 am

Invest 90-L Located About 600 Miles To The East Of Bermuda May Briefly Develop Over The Next Day Or So: An area of low pressure that has an area of disturbed weather attached to it is located over the open North Atlantic about 600 miles to the east of Bermuda. This area of disturbed weather […]

No Tropical Development Is Expected This Weekend Through Probably Next Week Across The Atlantic, Caribbean & Gulf

Friday, June 20, 2025 11:53 am

All is still quiet across the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf & it appears that tropical development is not expected through this weekend and probably through next week. Analysis reveals that the environmental conditions across the Atlantic Basin are unfavorable for development. In fact, the wind shear values are extremely unfavorable for any sort of development […]

Hurricane Erick In The Eastern Pacific Expected To Make Landfall In Southwestern Mexico On Thursday; In The Atlantic Basin – No Tropical Development Is Expected The Rest Of This Week Through At Least This Weekend

Wednesday, June 18, 2025 10:49 am

Hurricane Erick In The Eastern Pacific: The big weather story in the western Hemisphere is the quick intensification of now Hurricane Erick that’s located in the eastern Pacific about 200 miles to the south of the coast of southern Mexico. It is expected that Erick will rapidly strengthen and make landfall on the coast of […]

Tropical Development Chances In The Bay Of Campeche Or The Far Southwestern Gulf Remain Very Low For Later This Week

Monday, June 16, 2025 9:05 am

Weather analysis today reveals that the area to watch the next few days will be an area from the far eastern Pacific northward into the Bay of Campeche. Satellite imagery today shows that there is convection occurring across the Bay of Campeche. This convection is being caused by a surface trough of low pressure that […]

There’s Still A Rather Low Chance For Tropical Development In The Bay Of Campeche Or The Southwestern Gulf During The Middle & Later Parts Of Next Week

Friday, June 13, 2025 11:53 am

The Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf continues to be quiet today. This is due to a combination of very strong wind shear values and a blanket of dry air at the mid-levels of the atmosphere across much of the Atlantic Basin. Looking at satellite imagery today, it reveals a lack of any significant convection across much […]

Low Chance For Tropical Development In The Bay Of Campeche Around The Middle Part Of Next Week

Wednesday, June 11, 2025 12:44 pm

Overall, no real changes to what I wrote on Monday. The Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf remains quiet today and it appears that any sort of tropical development will not be a concern throughout the rest of this week right through this weekend. Analysis reveals that very strong wind shear prevails across much of the Atlantic, […]

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Disclaimer:  All forecasts herein are made to the best ability of the forecaster.  However, due to standard forecasting error, these forecasts cannot be guaranteed. Any action or inaction taken by users of this forecast is the sole responsibility of that user.

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