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Invest 90-L Will Become Tropical Storm Fernand As It Passes To The East Of Bermuda Over The Next Couple Of Days; Invest 99-L Will Head Into The Caribbean & Is Expected To Affect The Windward Islands Late Sunday Into Monday

Saturday, August 23, 2025 12:01 pm

Invest 90-L Located About 500 Miles To The South-Southeast Of Bermuda: Satellite imagery today indicated that Invest 90-L has become more organized with concentated thunderstorm activity noted. Satellite wind data also indicates that Invest 90-L has winds of up to gale-force associated with it & it seems the low-level circulation is a little stretched out. […]

Erin Races Out Into The Open Atlantic While Invest 90-L Turns To The Northwest & North & Passes Just East Of Bermuda On Monday; Invest 99-L Heading Westward Will Affect The Windward Islands On Monday

Friday, August 22, 2025 1:04 pm

Hurricane Erin: Erin is making its transformation from a hurricane to a large and powerful non-tropical storm system. I expect that this transformation will be complete by tonight. Erin is also now heading into the open Atlantic and will continue to pass well south of Nova Scotia this afternoon and will then pass well south […]

Erin Continues To Produce Coastal Flooding Along The North Carolina & Mid-Atlantic Coasts & Will Also Continue To Produce Large Waves, Very Rough Surf & Extremely Dangerous Rip Currents At Most US East Coast Beaches

Thursday, August 21, 2025 12:10 pm

Hurricane Erin: Erin is a very large hurricane with its tropical storm force winds extending out almost 500 miles across. Latest reconnaissance aircraft are reporting that Erin has weakened a bit and is now about a 100 mph hurricane and the hurricane is now heading in a northeasterly direction away from the East Coast of […]

Erin Will Pass Offshore Of The East Coast Of The United States, But Will Still Bring Tropical Storm Conditions To The North Carolina Outer Banks Through Thursday

Wednesday, August 20, 2025 12:53 pm

Hurricane Erin: Reports from reconnaissance aircraft and satellite imagery reveals that Erin is once again strengthening today. Erin, at the time of this writing, has maximum winds of around 110 mph with a central barometric pressure of 942 millibars. A look at satellite imagery reveals that the hurricane has become much better organized as compared […]

Erin Set To Bring Tropical Storm Conditions To The North Carolina Outer Banks On Late Wednesday Into Thursday

Tuesday, August 19, 2025 11:29 am

Hurricane Erin: Moderate amounts of wind shear combined with dry air has taken a big bite out of Erin today. Reconnaissance aircraft have found that the hurricane has weakened to about Category 2 strength. Additionally, satellite imagery indicates that most of the deeper convection is occurring on the eastern side of the hurricane with the […]

Erin Will Bring Tropical Storm Conditions To The Southeastern & Eastern Bahamas Through Tuesday; Erin Then May Bring Tropical Storm Conditions To The North Carolina Outer Banks On Wednesday Into Thursday

Monday, August 18, 2025 12:14 pm

Hurricane Erin: Erin underwent another round of strengthening last night into early this morning & the hurricane is a 140 mph Category 4 hurricane at the time of this writing. The reason for this strengthening seems to have to do with favorable wind shear conditions and ocean water temperatures that are extremely favorable for strengthening. […]

Disclaimer:  All forecasts herein are made to the best ability of the forecaster.  However, due to standard forecasting error, these forecasts cannot be guaranteed. Any action or inaction taken by users of this forecast is the sole responsibility of that user.