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Erin Set To Bring Tropical Storm Conditions To The North Carolina Outer Banks On Late Wednesday Into Thursday

Tuesday, August 19, 2025 11:29 am

Hurricane Erin: Moderate amounts of wind shear combined with dry air has taken a big bite out of Erin today. Reconnaissance aircraft have found that the hurricane has weakened to about Category 2 strength. Additionally, satellite imagery indicates that most of the deeper convection is occurring on the eastern side of the hurricane with the […]

Erin Will Bring Tropical Storm Conditions To The Southeastern & Eastern Bahamas Through Tuesday; Erin Then May Bring Tropical Storm Conditions To The North Carolina Outer Banks On Wednesday Into Thursday

Monday, August 18, 2025 12:14 pm

Hurricane Erin: Erin underwent another round of strengthening last night into early this morning & the hurricane is a 140 mph Category 4 hurricane at the time of this writing. The reason for this strengthening seems to have to do with favorable wind shear conditions and ocean water temperatures that are extremely favorable for strengthening. […]

Erin Looks To Brush The Eastern Bahamas During Monday Into Tuesday & Then Possibly Brush The North Carolina Outer Banks On Wednesday Into Thursday

Sunday, August 17, 2025 1:45 pm

Major Hurricane Erin: It appears that Erin has been undergoing an eye wall replacement cycle since late yesterday where the original eye collapses & a new eye then forms and begins to contract. This process leads to a hurricane that does weaken for a while, but also then has a larger eye and a larger […]

Erin Has Rapidly Strengthened Into A Extremely Powerful Category 5 Hurricane & Is Passing To The North Of The Leeward & Virgin Islands

Saturday, August 16, 2025 12:29 pm

Major Hurricane Erin: Erin has undergone extremely rapid strengthening last night into this morning, going from a 75 mph Category 1 hurricane to now a 160 mph Category 5 hurricane at the time of this writing. Reconnaissance aircraft have found the hurricane is rapidly strengthening with central barometric pressure falls of nearly 8 millibars per […]

Erin Is Near Hurricane Strength & Is Still Expected To Pass North Of The Leeward & Virgin Islands This Weekend

Friday, August 15, 2025 10:01 am

Tropical Storm Erin: After becoming quite disorganized with the convection around Erin collapsing last night, it seems as if Erin is organizing today with a small core of deep convection found near the center of the storm. All indications seem to be pointing that Erin is very near hurricane strength right now. I do think […]

Erin Is Strengthening & Is Still Expected To Pass North Of The Leeward & Virgin Islands This Weekend; Invest 98-L Is Expected To Move Inland Near The Texas-Mexico Border By Late Friday

Thursday, August 14, 2025 12:14 pm

Tropical Storm Erin: Analysis of satellite imagery and other weather data reveals that Erin has become better organized so far today with deep convection firing near the center of the storm. In addition, some banding features have been noted on satellite imagery, which all seem to suggest that the storm is strengthening. Erin is currently […]

Disclaimer:  All forecasts herein are made to the best ability of the forecaster.  However, due to standard forecasting error, these forecasts cannot be guaranteed. Any action or inaction taken by users of this forecast is the sole responsibility of that user.