Severe Weather Discussions Archives:

A Powerful Ocean Storm May Impact Areas From The U.S. Mid-Atlantic States To Bermuda Late Next Week

All of the model guidance, including the GFS, Canadian, UKMET and European model are in almost unanimous agreement in the forecast of a very strong low pressure system to take shape off of the North Carolina and Virginia coast on Thursday of next week and head nearly due eastward towards the island of Bermuda by more »

Very Early Thoughts On The 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season (Posted On December 11)

I am already beginning to take a look at what the 2021 Hurricane Season for the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico may be like and early indications are that it could be yet another active season. The reason why I think this is because the current La Nina conditions are probably going to head more »

Severe Weather With A Tornado Threat Expected Along The Gulf Coast On New Year’s Eve & Across Parts Of The Southeastern U.S. On New Year’s Day

Summary: Severe weather with the threat for tornadoes and wind damage are expected beginning Thursday afternoon and Thursday night across central, southern and southeastern Louisiana, central and southern Mississippi and central and southern Alabama. This severe weather threat is expected to spread across central and southern Georgia and parts of South Carolina during New Year’s more »

Severe Weather Expected Across Eastern North Carolina & Southeast Virginia Later This Afternoon Into This Evening

Severe weather is expected to develop by late this Christmas Eve afternoon in an area from about Myrtle Beach, South Carolina to about Raleigh, North Carolina. This severe weather is expected to spread eastward across eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia by about 6-7 pm this evening with this severe weather pushing offshore by about more »

Christmas Week Weather Outlook

The storm to really watch next week is expected to move into the Pacific Northwest on Monday and is expected to reach the Central United States by Wednesday. It is forecast that this storm system will produce moderate to heavy rainfall along the coastal Northwestern United States and mountain snows in the Cascades early next more »

A Major Winter Storm Is Expected To Impact The Mid-Atlantic Region & Southern New England Wednesday Into Thursday

An area of low pressure is expected to develop near the Virginia and North Carolina coast on Wednesday and head towards Nantucket, Massachusetts on Thursday. At the same time this is occurring, a large high pressure system over Quebec, Canada will provide more than enough cold air leading to a major winter storm across the more »

A Significant Winter Storm Is Possible From Wednesday Into Thursday Across The Mid-Atlantic & The Northeastern United States

It looks quite possible that a coastal storm will bring significant amounts of snow from much of the Mid-Atlantic states into parts of the Northeastern United States (Especially from New York City into Southern New England) starting on Wednesday and continuing into Thursday. An area of low pressure is likely to develop near the Virginia more »

Preliminary Weather Outlook For Christmas Week

I wanted to take a first look at what the weather may be like across the United States during Christmas Week and see if there are any significant storms possible. The start of Christmas Week (December 20, 21 and 22) may have some rain and scattered thunderstorms across the Southeastern United States as a low more »

2020 Hurricane Season Preparation Tips

I wanted to send these various tips out to you as I know many of you are concerned about how hurricane preparations and decisions may be impacted by COVID-19; especially since it continues to look like a very busy hurricane season coming up. In fact, there are signals in the data that suggest we may more »

2020 Atlantic, Caribbean & Gulf Of Mexico Hurricane Season Forecast (Issued March 10)

Summary: I am forecasting above average tropical storm and hurricane season due to a combination of either neutral ENSO conditions or La Nina conditions, an active Western African Monsoon, above average ocean water temperatures and the possibility of lower than average wind shear conditions. There is also the possibility of well above average activity this more »